Why Do Stock Prices Flucuate

The most common question that you are most likely to hear from the new comers to the trading industry is:  Why do stock prices fluctuate?

The stock market is actually acting as a giant auction – only instead of antiques and heirlooms, it is the ownership in a business that is up for grabs to anyone willing to pay the price. The stocks are traded at places that are called exchanges.  At these exchanges the traders will buy and sell the shares of a company.

Generally, the prices of these stocks will be then determined by the supply and demand. For example, if there are more people that want to buy a certain stock than to sell it, the price of it will be then driven up because those shares of stock are rare and most people will pay for a higher price for that stock. On the other hand, when there are a lot of shares of stock that are for sale and when no one is interested in buying them, then naturally the price will quickly fall.

Because of this reason, the market may appear to be fluctuating in a wide range. Even if you see that there is nothing wrong with the company, a number of large shareholders who are trying to sell millions of these shares at a time will be able to drive the price of the stock down; it is simply because there are not enough people that are interested in buying a stock.

That is why it is important to only buy shares in a company which has a lot of trading volume.  Even if a companies stock is a good buy and the stock price increases 400%, if there is no volume you cannot get the profits out of the stock.  If you try to sell 1000 shares and the volume for a day is only 800 shares, there will not be a buyer for your shares and the price will actually tank because of the large amount of shares being traded.  That then is why one important stock tip is to watch the traded volume.

Timing The Market – What Does It Mean

What is “Timing the market” anyway? “Timing the Market” is actually considered by many to be a useless exercise. Timing the market is indeed useless if it is done the way that some think it is done. Yet, it is actually a matter of having a good selling strategy or a stop loss system aided with a good buy strategy. Experts in timing the market do not buy shares in a stock because they feel that a stock is too “good” to own, or either sell because they feel it is too “high”. Instead they buy because there is a buy signal, and they sell because there is a sell signal.

One example of a simple timing system for the market may be expressed as follows. When you buy an undervalued stock and when it closes above its 150th day moving average but only after that its average has started to rise. You will then sell if the stock that closes below its 150th day moving its average but only after that average has begun to decline.

A 10th day moving average or some other moving average may be used instead of its closing price in order for you to reduce a whipsaw effects, and other moving averages that could be used instead of using of the 150th day average, but it will depend on the person’s investment time-horizon. So you have to remember that those who do not abide to the set of rules of selling are begging to the market to teach them the lesson again of getting it right.

The proper trading system needs to be tried out and tested before being enacted.  When you find the strategy that will work for you, then you are prepared to actually buy shares and use the system you have developed.  One problem with timing the market is the possibility you will walk away from potential profits if the stock has merely dipped and then rises again.  This may not be a problem if you have found another winner that more than makes up for the missed out on profits.